Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.251394 0.296133 0.343788 0.398050 0.457847 0.521466 0.594001
2024-10-06 0.200595 0.262835 0.333654 0.419089 0.518262 0.628717 0.759987
2024-10-13 0.153955 0.224800 0.310814 0.420300 0.553371 0.707436 0.896834
2024-10-20 0.120027 0.195434 0.292945 0.423351 0.588393 0.785856 1.035447
2024-10-27 0.097909 0.176942 0.285277 0.436595 0.634769 0.878343 1.193128
2024-11-03 0.080999 0.162232 0.279950 0.451015 0.681899 0.972296 1.354645
2024-11-10 0.067242 0.149355 0.274964 0.464360 0.727035 1.064209 1.515363
2024-11-17 0.051776 0.130233 0.258017 0.458742 0.745382 1.121262 1.632642
2024-11-24 0.041885 0.118400 0.250279 0.464885 0.778941 1.198043 1.775928
2024-12-01 0.031855 0.103584 0.235535 0.458775 0.794126 1.249929 1.887188
2024-12-08 0.022551 0.087181 0.215519 0.442279 0.792697 1.278315 1.967135
2024-12-15 0.018217 0.080620 0.211780 0.450778 0.827389 1.356214 2.113594
2024-12-22 0.012972 0.069768 0.198773 0.443496 0.838821 1.403121 2.221001
2024-12-29 0.011129 0.067816 0.202785 0.464898 0.894346 1.513032 2.415693
2025-01-05 0.008141 0.060687 0.195147 0.465452 0.917446 1.577216 2.548853
2025-01-12 0.005941 0.054837 0.189195 0.468266 0.943790 1.646241 2.689474
2025-01-19 0.004708 0.052005 0.189471 0.482160 0.987911 1.741588 2.867772
2025-01-26 0.003752 0.049700 0.190561 0.497403 1.034371 1.840879 3.052600
2025-02-02 0.002932 0.047346 0.191141 0.511552 1.079249 1.938421 3.236063
2025-02-09 0.001794 0.041399 0.181634 0.505485 1.090370 1.985906 3.349287
2025-02-16 0.001213 0.038229 0.178741 0.512005 1.122367 2.064788 3.507753
2025-02-23 0.000637 0.033235 0.169753 0.505456 1.131794 2.109575 3.617834
2025-03-02 0.000222 0.027198 0.156054 0.487818 1.121186 2.123292 3.682993